With tanks outside the presidential compound in Cairo after protests at the power grab by president Mursi, it is encouraging to hear Mursi calling for a wide political dialogue today, to discuss constitutional changes. (I recall Saddam Hussein calling a similar a meeting, which overthrew Iraqi’s institutions and began that dictatorial reign). Mursi has also backed away from proposed powers to exempt him from judicial check.
However, what happens if Egyptian Hamas and other Muslim ‘martyrs’ trek into Gaza and fill it with volatile anti-Israel protestors? The Muslim Brotherhood has already called for an overthrow of Jerusalem and to ignore the UN. (“Come in George Clooney and Hollywood”). Muslim aggressors shelled Israel from Egyptian soil in mid-November.
There is little Israel could do to prevent this, as an Egyptian ‘liberation’ of Gaza would effectively absorb Gaza with Egypt and combine culturally and religious homogenous Arabs. This is a stated political goal and would be a first step towards the desired “United States of Arabs.” It is important to understand, that prior to the Arab Spring, Egyptians were ambivalent about Palestinians, living as they did within a peaceful accord with Israel for over three decades. However, on the coat-tails of the Arab Spring rejection of oppression and corruption, a resurgent Muslim political movement has taken power and revived Arab aspirational nationalism (basically premised on the removal of Israel from the Middle East) We can therefore expect a whole new relationship between Egypt and Israel over the near future, and a more dangerous one. The days of Nasser and Mubarak are gone.
Gaza and Egypt share their SW border, through which munitions are already smuggled, and used against Israel. This would greatly threaten Israel’s southern security.
I think it is likely we will see a surge into Gaza and Egyptian movements to absorb this Palestinian Territory as part of a greater geo-political power play against Israel.